How much can rent go up in Portugal in 2027? The honest answer: we do not know for certain yet. The official coefficient is only published by INE (Instituto Nacional de Estatística, Portugal's national statistics institute) in October 2026. But there are already credible estimates based on inflation projections, and we can run concrete numbers.
What is the current estimate?
Based on the macroeconomic projections for 2026 (Bank of Portugal, European Commission, IMF), a reasonable estimate for the 2027 INE rent update coefficient is +2.00% (coefficient 1.0200). This is an estimate, to be confirmed when INE publishes the official figure.
This figure sits in the middle of three possible scenarios:
- Optimistic scenario: +1.50%, if inflation slows more than expected
- Central scenario: +2.00%, consistent with current projections
- Pessimistic scenario: +2.50%, if there is renewed inflationary pressure
Examples: how much rent will rise in 2027
Assuming the central estimate of +2.00%, these are the expected increases for typical rents:
| Current rent | New rent 2027 (est.) | Monthly difference | Per year |
|---|---|---|---|
| €500 | €510 | +€10 | +€120 |
| €650 | €663 | +€13 | +€156 |
| €800 | €816 | +€16 | +€192 |
| €1,000 | €1,020 | +€20 | +€240 |
| €1,200 | €1,224 | +€24 | +€288 |
Estimate vs recent coefficients
For context, these are the actual figures from recent years:
- 2024: +6.94% (exceptional, due to the 2023 inflation peak)
- 2025: +2.16%
- 2026: +2.24%
- 2027: +2.00% (estimate)
The trend points to stabilisation around 2%, reflecting the return of inflation to the ECB's target levels.
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Recent coefficient history
| Year | Coefficient | Status |
|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 1.0200 (+2.00%) | Estimate |
| 2026 | 1.0224 (+2.24%) | Official |
| 2025 | 1.0216 (+2.16%) | Official |
| 2024 | 1.0694 (+6.94%) | Official |
| 2023 | 1.0200 (+2.00%) | Official |
Estimate the impact for 2027
Use the provisional calculator to see the estimated new rent with the +2.00% coefficient. Indicative figure only: the official one comes out in October 2026.
See the 2027 estimate (calculator in Portuguese) →